Jan 20, 2019
University of Chicago Law School Law & Economics Research
Paper Series Paper No. 387 Conspiracy Theories CASS R. SUNSTEIN
University of Chicago - Law School ADRIAN VERMEULE Harvard
University - Harvard Law School This paper can be downloaded free
of charge from the Social Science Research Network
at:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=1084585 Electronic
copy available at:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=1084585Preliminarydraft
1/15/08 Conspiracy Theories Cass R. Sunstein* Adrian
Vermeule** Abstract Many millions of people hold conspiracy
theories; they believe that powerful people have worked together in
order to withhold the truth about some important practice or some
terrible event. A recent example is a belief, widespread in some
parts of the world, that the attacks of 9/11 were carried out not
by Al Qaeda, but by Israel or the United States. Those who
subscribe to conspiracy theories may create serious risks,
including risks of violence, and the existence of such theories
raises significant challenges for policy and law. The first
challenge is to understand the mechanisms by which conspiracy
theories prosper; the second challenge is to understand how such
theories might be undermined. Such theories typically spread as a
result of identifiable cognitive blunders, operating in conjunction
with informational and reputational influences. A distinctive
feature of conspiracy theories is their self-sealing quality.
Conspiracy theorists are not likely to be persuaded by an attempt
to dispel their theories; they may even characterize that very
attempt as further proof of the conspiracy. Because those who hold
conspiracy theories typically suffer from a "crippled
epistemology,” in accordance with which it is rational to hold such
theories, the best response consists in cognitive infiltration of
extremist groups. Various policy dilemmas, such as the question of
whether it is better for the government to rebut conspiracy
theories.
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